NEWS

 
11 January 2010

On day January 13 the asteroid 2010 AL30 will be at only 0.0009 A.U. from the Earth.
It's diameter is 18 meters.


Data from JPL-Nasa

2010 AL30                                                Earth MOID = 0.0000 AU
Epoch 2010 Jan. 4.0 TT = JDT 2455200.5                  MPC
M 281.43768              (2000.0)            P               Q
n   0.98334316     Peri.  104.60262     -0.78961396     +0.61037025
a   1.0015347      Node   113.05293     -0.58600666     -0.71972363
e   0.3058516      Incl.    3.92050     -0.18195053     -0.33082632
P   1.00           H   27.1           G   0.15           U   5


Date    TT    R. A. (2000) Decl.     Delta      r     Elong.  Phase     V
2010 01 12.0  07 43.96   +09 26.4    0.00863  0.992   167.4    12.4    17.5
2010 01 12.1  07 42.35   +09 31.4    0.00808  0.991   167.6    12.3    17.4
2010 01 12.2  07 40.50   +09 37.3    0.00752  0.991   167.8    12.1    17.2
2010 01 12.3  07 38.35   +09 44.0    0.00697  0.990   168.0    11.9    17.0
2010 01 12.4  07 35.82   +09 51.8    0.00641  0.990   168.2    11.7    16.8
2010 01 12.5  07 32.82   +10 01.0    0.00586  0.989   168.4    11.6    16.6
2010 01 12.6  07 29.19   +10 12.0    0.00531  0.989   168.5    11.5    16.4
2010 01 12.7  07 24.70   +10 25.4    0.00476  0.988   168.5    11.5    16.2
2010 01 12.8  07 19.04   +10 42.0    0.00421  0.988   168.3    11.6    15.9
2010 01 12.9  07 11.66   +11 02.9    0.00366  0.987   167.9    12.1    15.6
2010 01 13.0  07 01.68   +11 30.1    0.00312  0.987   166.8    13.1    15.3
2010 01 13.1  06 47.49   +12 06.4    0.00258  0.986   164.7    15.2    15.0
2010 01 13.2  06 25.91   +12 56.2    0.00206  0.986   160.7    19.2    14.6
2010 01 13.3  05 50.02   +14 03.5    0.00157  0.985   153.1    26.8    14.3
2010 01 13.4  04 43.89   +15 13.7    0.00114  0.984   138.1    41.9    14.0
2010 01 13.5  02 42.12   +14 13.6    0.00088  0.984   109.5    70.5    14.3
2010 01 13.6  00 15.43   +07 58.5    0.00094  0.983    73.6   106.3    15.9
2010 01 13.7  22 41.30   +01 57.1    0.00128  0.983    50.0   129.9    18.3
2010 01 13.8  21 51.70   -01 26.8    0.00174  0.982    37.6   142.3    20.4
2010 01 13.9  21 23.51   -03 21.4    0.00224  0.982    30.7   149.2    22.1
2010 01 14.0  21 05.79   -04 31.7    0.00277  0.981    26.5   153.5    23.4



1 January 2010

On day 13 April 2036 the asteroid Apophis WILL NOT IMPACT the Earth. On the Torino scale the probability is zero.

7 November 2009

This night at 21.32 U.T. a new asteroid has grazed the Earth. The body, denominated 2009 VA, it is passed to only 20000 kms
from the center of our planet, around 14000 from the surface. Its diameter of 6 meters would not have constituted a problem however.
Dangerous encounters are not calculated in the future, and on the staircase of Torino it has a value zero. Its mass is 3.6*10^5 kg.

The orbital parameters are:

e 	.3573882739332184
a 	1.428030849867257 AU
q 	.9176693693098114 AU
i 	7.541919391808355 deg
node 	224.5419169422727 deg
peri 	223.9910222045172 deg
M 	338.9483913019615 deg
tp 	2455177.949166321584 (2009-Dec-12.44916633) 		JED
period 	623.3110288142891 d

Earth MOID = .000130783 AU

absolute magnitude H = 28.583

---------------------------------------------------

8 october 2009

Asteroid Impactor Reported over Indonesia
Don Yeomans, Paul Chodas, Steve Chesley
NASA/JPL Near-Earth Object Program Office
October 23, 2009

On October 8, 2009 about 03:00 Greenwich time, an atmospheric fireball blast was observed and recorded over an island
region of Indonesia. The blast is thought to be due to the atmospheric entry of a small asteroid about 10 meters in
diameter that, due to atmospheric pressure, detonated in the atmosphere with an energy of about 50 kilotons
(the equivalent of 100,000 pounds of TNT explosives).

A report from Elizabeth Silber and Peter Brown at the University of Western Ontario indicates that several international
very-long wavelength infrasound detectors recorded the blast and fixed the position near the coastal city of Bone in
South Sulawesi, island of Sulewesi. They note that the blast was in the 10 to 50 kT range with the higher end of this
range being more likely.

Assuming an estimated size of about 5-10 meters in diameter, we would expect a fireball event of this magnitude about
once every 2 to 12 years on average. As a rule, the most common types of stony asteroids would not be expected to cause
ground damage unless their diameters were about 25 meters in diameter or larger.

The blast was recorded visually and reported upon by local media representatives. See the YouTube video at:

Video

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PASADENA, Calif. -- Using updated information, NASA scientists have recalculated the path of a large asteroid. The refined
path indicates a significantly reduced likelihood of a hazardous encounter with Earth in 2036.
The Apophis asteroid is approximately the size of two-and-a-half football fields. The new data were documented by near-Earth
object scientists Steve Chesley and Paul Chodas at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, Calif. They will present
their updated findings at a meeting of the American Astronomical Society's Division for Planetary Sciences in Puerto Rico
on Oct. 8.
"Apophis has been one of those celestial bodies that has captured the public's interest since it was discovered in 2004,"
said Chesley. "Updated computational techniques and newly available data indicate the probability of an Earth encounter
on April 13, 2036, for Apophis has dropped from one-in-45,000 to about four-in-a million."
A majority of the data that enabled the updated orbit of Apophis came from observations Dave Tholen and collaborators at
the University of Hawaii's Institute for Astronomy in Manoa made. Tholen pored over hundreds of previously unreleased
images of the night sky made with the University of Hawaii's 2.2-meter (88-inch) telescope, located near the summit of Mauna Kea.
Tholen made improved measurements of the asteroid's position in the images, enabling him to provide Chesley and Chodas with
new data sets more precise than previous measures for Apophis. Measurements from the Steward Observatory's 2.3 meter (90-inch)
Bok telescope on Kitt Peak in Arizona and the Arecibo Observatory on the island of Puerto Rico also were used in Chesley's calculations.
The information provided a more accurate glimpse of Apophis' orbit well into the latter part of this century. Among the
findings is another close encounter by the asteroid with Earth in 2068 with chance of impact currently at approximately
three-in-a-million. As with earlier orbital estimates where Earth impacts in 2029 and 2036 could not initially be ruled
out due to the need for additional data, it is expected that the 2068 encounter will diminish in probability as more
information about Apophis is acquired.
Initially, Apophis was thought to have a 2.7 percent chance of impacting Earth in 2029. Additional observations of the
asteriod ruled out any possibility of an impact in 2029. However, the asteroid is expected to make a record-setting
-- but harmless -- close approach to Earth on Friday, April 13, 2029, when it comes no closer than 29,450 kilometers (18,300 miles)
above Earth's surface.
"The refined orbital determination further reinforces that Apophis is an asteroid we can look to as an opportunity for
exciting science and not something that should be feared," said Don Yeomans, manager of the Near-Earth Object Program
Office at JPL. "The public can follow along as we continue to study Apophis and other near-Earth objects by visiting us
on our AsteroidWatch Web site and by following us on the @AsteroidWatch Twitter feed."
The science of predicting asteroid orbits is based on a physical model of the solar system which includes the gravitational
influence of the sun, moon, other planets and the three largest asteroids.
NASA detects and tracks asteroids and comets passing close to Earth using both ground and space-based telescopes.
The Near-Earth Object Observations Program, commonly called "Spaceguard," discovers these objects, characterizes a subset
of them and plots their orbits to determine if any could be potentially hazardous to our planet.
JPL manages the Near-Earth Object Program Office for NASA's Science Mission Directorate in Washington. JPL is a division of
the California Institute of Technology in Pasadena. Cornell University, Ithaca, N.Y., operates the Arecibo Observatory under
a cooperative agreement with the National Science Foundation in Arlington, Va.